MLBComputerPicksMLB Computer Picks: Best Bets for September 23, 2026
Published · Auto-generated from the model
The algorithm sorted every game for Wednesday, September 23, 2026 by edge. These rose to the top.
1. Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers — DET +1.5 Strong
The market opened at 1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is DET +1.5, an edge of about 2.1 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.2 combined runs versus a market number of 6.5. That points to the Over 6.5, with about 1.7 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected WSH 4 – DET 4 · full preview →
2. Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles — TOR +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of -1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is TOR +1.5, an edge of about 0.9 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 8.7 runs against the posted 6.5. That points to the Over 6.5, with about 2.2 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected TOR 4 – BAL 5 · full preview →
3. Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles — BAL +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is BAL +1.5, an edge of about 2.1 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 8.7 runs against the posted 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 1.2 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected TOR 4 – BAL 5 · full preview →
4. Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies — PHI +1.5 Strong
Comparing our projected margin to the posted line of 1.5 for the home team surfaces a gap the model wants to bet. The recommendation is PHI +1.5, an edge of about 2.0 runs in our favor. On the total, the model projects around 8.5 combined runs versus a market number of 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 1.0 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected MIL 4 – PHI 5 · full preview →
5. St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates — STL +1.5 Strong
The market opened at -1.5 on the home side, but our projected margin is far enough from that number to flag value. The recommendation is STL +1.5, an edge of about 1.6 runs in our favor. For the over/under, our pace-adjusted projection lands near 8.1 runs against the posted 7.5. That points to the Over 7.5, with about 0.6 runs of over edge.
Model confidence 85% · projected STL 4 – PIT 4 · full preview →